New model created to analyse epidemics

7 November 2014

Researchers have spent years trying to develop a model that shows how contagions spread to result in an epidemic, such as the recent ebola outbreak. Now, a new report details a method to analyse the loop linking individual human behaviour and that of the epidemic itself.

A team at the New York University Polytechnic School of Engineering has developed the first stages of a highly complex model, which was hailed as  “brilliant research” by the American Physical Society recently.

It is hoped the model will be able to accurately predict those who are most vulnerable to the disease, allowing them to be vaccinated before they become infected. The team also hope this will allow the right travel restrictions and isolation practices to be put in place to prevent it from developing.

The new model also accounts for the different rates at which people become infected. For example, previous work has shown that those who feel symptomatic will often self-isolate.

The paper was published in Physical Review E. 

Posted by Edward Bartel


Health News is provided by Adfero in collaboration with Spire Healthcare. Please note that all copy above is ©Adfero Ltd. and does not reflect views or opinions of Spire Healthcare unless explicitly stated. Additional comments on the page from individual Spire consultants do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of other consultants or Spire Healthcare.

Find a treatment, test or scan available at:


Find a consultant

Use one or more of the options below to search for a consultant and link through to view their Spire profile.


Let us help you

fill out this form and we will get back to you:

Please select a hospital

We can call you

Please enter your details below and we will call you back.

What is the aim of your enquiry?

Please select a hospital

If we are unable to reach you by phone, please include your email address so that we can get in touch...



© Spire Healthcare Group plc (2016)